ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 20

Chapecoense-sc

Pts

14

MP

23

W

2

GD

-22

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
75% confidence
10Wins
90% confidence
10Wins
99% confidence
11Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.0%
75% confidence
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.0%
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Chapecoense-sc edged Sao Paulo 1-0 at the Arena Condá, but remain rooted to the bottom of the table with 14 points from 23 matches. Mathematically eliminated from title and Libertadores contention, Chape carry a 100% probability of relegation in simulations and need 10 wins from their final 15 matches to pursue an unlikely survival scenario at 75%. Their next challenge is against Gremio on August 30.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
25(GRE)
0.96
26(COR)
0.82
27(INT)
1.33
28(GAL)
0.79
29(VIT)
1.00