ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 14

Corinthians

Pts

32

MP

28

W

8

GD

-3

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
1%

Probability — Corinthians

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 10
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 3-1 home defeat against Fluminense complicated things for Corinthians, raising their relegation risk to 14% and sinking their Sul-Americana chances to 36%. O Timão need 4 wins from the final 10 rounds to guarantee their Série A survival with a 75% probability, a target driven up by their dangerous proximity to the Z-4. On October 7, the São Paulo club visit Internacional in a crucial relegation six-pointer.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Corinthians's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Corinthians has a 0.3% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.