Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 14
Corinthians
Pts
32
MP
28
W
8
GD
-3
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.14%
Probability — Corinthians
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 10
90% confidence
4Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 3-1 home defeat against Fluminense complicated things for Corinthians, raising their relegation risk to 14% and sinking their Sul-Americana chances to 36%. O Timão need 4 wins from the final 10 rounds to guarantee their Série A survival with a 75% probability, a target driven up by their dangerous proximity to the Z-4. On October 7, the São Paulo club visit Internacional in a crucial relegation six-pointer.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Corinthians's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Corinthians has a 13.6% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Corinthians need for Escape Relegation?
Corinthians needs 4 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.