ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 14

Corinthians

Pts

32

MP

28

W

8

GD

-3

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
36%

Probability — Corinthians

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
6Wins/ 10
90% confidence
6Wins/ 10
99% confidence
7Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 3-1 home defeat against Fluminense complicated things for Corinthians, raising their relegation risk to 14% and sinking their Sul-Americana chances to 36%. O Timão need 4 wins from the final 10 rounds to guarantee their Série A survival with a 75% probability, a target driven up by their dangerous proximity to the Z-4. On October 7, the São Paulo club visit Internacional in a crucial relegation six-pointer.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Corinthians's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Corinthians has a 36.3% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Corinthians need for Sulamericana?
Corinthians needs 6 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.