ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 04

Fluminense

Pts

41

MP

24

W

11

GD

+7

Primary Objective

Libertadores

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.
33%

Probability — Fluminense

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 14
90% confidence
9Wins/ 14
99% confidence
10Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Fluminense overcame Remo 2-1 at the Maracanã to protect their spot in the top 4 with 41 points. Tricolor das Laranjeiras split their continental odds between direct qualification (33%) and the Libertadores playoffs (34%), needing 9 wins from their final 14 matches to reach the group stage with 75% certainty. Their next match is a direct clash against Atletico Paranaense on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Fluminense's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Fluminense has a 33.4% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Fluminense need for Libertadores?
Fluminense needs 9 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.