Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 04
Fluminense
Pts
41
MP
24
W
11
GD
+7
Primary Objective
Sulamericana
Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.32%
Probability — Fluminense
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 14
90% confidence
5Wins/ 14
99% confidence
5Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Fluminense overcame Remo 2-1 at the Maracanã to protect their spot in the top 4 with 41 points. Tricolor das Laranjeiras split their continental odds between direct qualification (33%) and the Libertadores playoffs (34%), needing 9 wins from their final 14 matches to reach the group stage with 75% certainty. Their next match is a direct clash against Atletico Paranaense on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Fluminense's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Fluminense has a 31.9% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Fluminense need for Sulamericana?
Fluminense needs 5 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.