ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 15

Mirassol

Pts

32

MP

28

W

8

GD

-9

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
19%

Probability — Mirassol

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 10
90% confidence
4Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A convincing 2-0 triumph over Botafogo transformed the outlook for Mirassol, drastically slashing their relegation risk from 44% to 19%. The São Paulo outfit need 4 wins from their final 10 rounds to dispel any danger with 75% confidence, while also opening up a 27% probability of qualifying for the Sul-Americana. On October 7, the club face a challenging trip to meet RB Bragantino.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Mirassol's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Mirassol has a 19.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Mirassol need for Escape Relegation?
Mirassol needs 4 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.