ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 09

Athletic Club

Pts

34

MP

24

W

8

GD

0

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
2%

Probability — Athletic Club

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 14
90% confidence
12Wins/ 14
99% confidence
12Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Athletic Club were beaten 4-1 by Novorizontino and sit 9th in the table with 34 points. With just a 2% promotion probability and a 4% risk of relegation, the Minas Gerais club need 11 wins from the remaining 14 rounds to reach the top four at the 75% confidence threshold. The team return to action against Náutico on August 28.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Athletic Club's chances of achieving Promotion?
Athletic Club has a 2.0% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Athletic Club need for Promotion?
Athletic Club needs 12 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.