ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 09

Athletic Club

Pts

34

MP

24

W

8

GD

0

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
4%

Probability — Athletic Club

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 14
90% confidence
5Wins/ 14
99% confidence
5Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Athletic Club were beaten 4-1 by Novorizontino and sit 9th in the table with 34 points. With just a 2% promotion probability and a 4% risk of relegation, the Minas Gerais club need 11 wins from the remaining 14 rounds to reach the top four at the 75% confidence threshold. The team return to action against Náutico on August 28.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Athletic Club's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Athletic Club has a 4.3% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Athletic Club need for Escape Relegation?
Athletic Club needs 5 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.