ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 17

Avai

Pts

30

MP

29

W

8

GD

-8

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
75% confidence
5Wins
90% confidence
6Wins
99% confidence
9Wins
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.0%
—
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Avaí saw their relegation risk jump from 45% to 73% following a 2-1 loss against Goiás. Stuck in 17th place with 30 points from 29 games, o Leão da Ilha need to win at least 5 of their last 9 matches to guarantee survival with a 75% probability. Their bounce-back bid will be tested in the Santa Catarina derby against Criciúma, set for September 27.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
30(CRI)
1.00
31(CEA)
1.54
32(LON)
1.60
33(CUI)
0.95
34(ATH)
1.42