ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 15

Ceara

Pts

35

MP

29

W

9

GD

-6

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
28%

Probability — Ceara

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 9
90% confidence
4Wins/ 9
99% confidence
9Wins/ 9

ProbFut AI Analysis

Ceará earned a crucial result by beating Novorizontino 2-1, reducing their relegation risk from 49% to 28%. With 35 points from 29 rounds, o Vozão need 4 wins from their remaining 9 fixtures to guarantee their place in Série B with 75% statistical certainty. The Alvinegro's next match will be against Operário-PR on September 26.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Ceara's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Ceara has a 28.3% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Ceara need for Escape Relegation?
Ceara needs 4 wins in 9 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.