ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 01

Criciuma

Pts

44

MP

24

W

12

GD

+8

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
70%

Probability — Criciuma

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 14
90% confidence
8Wins/ 14
99% confidence
10Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Criciúma remain atop the table with 44 points despite a 2-0 loss against Fortaleza. With a 70% promotion probability, Tigre need 8 wins from the remaining 14 rounds to seal their return to Série A with 75% certainty in the models. The Carvoeiro outfit's next fixture is against CRB on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Criciuma's chances of achieving Promotion?
Criciuma has a 69.6% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Criciuma need for Promotion?
Criciuma needs 8 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.