ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 04

Criciuma

Pts

62

MP

37

W

18

GD

+7

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
✓

Probability — Criciuma

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓

ProbFut AI Analysis

Criciuma, the Tigre, has 62 points in 4th place and is mathematically eliminated from the automatic promotion spots, but remains virtually guaranteed a playoff place. The 1-0 defeat to Vila Nova in round 37 did not meaningfully change its position. In round 38, the Tigre host Novorizontino on November 14, in a match that will settle the final order at the top of the table.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Criciuma's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Criciuma has a 100.0% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Criciuma need for Promotion Playoff?
Criciuma needs 0 wins in 1 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.