Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 05
Fortaleza EC
Pts
40
MP
24
W
11
GD
+6
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.60%
Probability — Fortaleza EC
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 14
90% confidence
9Wins/ 14
99% confidence
10Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Fortaleza earned a huge away win by beating leaders Criciúma 2-0, moving onto 40 points in 5th place. With a 60% promotion probability, Leão do Pici are targeting 9 wins from their final 14 matches to secure a top-four spot under the 75% confidence scenario. The Ceará side play next on August 31, when they host Operário-PR.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Fortaleza EC's chances of achieving Promotion?
Fortaleza EC has a 60.0% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Fortaleza EC need for Promotion?
Fortaleza EC needs 9 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.