ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 02

Fortaleza EC

Pts

51

MP

29

W

14

GD

+9

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
79%

Probability — Fortaleza EC

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 9
90% confidence
5Wins/ 9
99% confidence
6Wins/ 9

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 away win over Londrina saw Fortaleza EC's promotion chances jump from 55% to 79%. In second place with 51 points from 29 matches, o Leão do Pici need 5 wins from the remaining 9 fixtures to ensure their return to the top flight at the 75% probability threshold. Their next match is at home against Athletic Club on September 27.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Fortaleza EC's chances of achieving Promotion?
Fortaleza EC has a 79.3% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Fortaleza EC need for Promotion?
Fortaleza EC needs 5 wins in 9 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.