ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 15

Nautico Recife

Pts

31

MP

24

W

8

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
8%

Probability — Nautico Recife

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 14
90% confidence
5Wins/ 14
99% confidence
7Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Náutico drew 1-1 with São Bernardo and sit 15th, tallying 31 points in the table. With an 8% relegation probability, Timbu need to win 5 of their remaining 14 matches to hit the safe points threshold with 75% confidence in the simulations. The Pernambuco side face Athletic Club on August 28.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Nautico Recife's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Nautico Recife has a 7.9% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Nautico Recife need for Escape Relegation?
Nautico Recife needs 5 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.