ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 03

Novorizontino

Pts

50

MP

29

W

14

GD

+22

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
73%

Probability — Novorizontino

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 9
90% confidence
5Wins/ 9
99% confidence
6Wins/ 9

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 defeat against Ceará halted Novorizontino's momentum, cutting their promotion probability from 85% to 73%. Steady in 3rd place with 50 points from 29 rounds, o Tigre do Vale need 5 wins from their remaining 9 fixtures to seal promotion at the 75% confidence level. The São Paulo outfit will look to get back to winning ways against São Bernardo on September 25.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Novorizontino's chances of achieving Promotion?
Novorizontino has a 73.4% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Novorizontino need for Promotion?
Novorizontino needs 5 wins in 9 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.