Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 04
Novorizontino
Pts
40
MP
24
W
11
GD
+18
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.1%
Probability — Novorizontino
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
2Wins/ 14
90% confidence
2Wins/ 14
99% confidence
3Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Novorizontino recorded an emphatic 4-1 away win over Athletic Club and consolidated 4th place, reaching 40 points with the tournament's best goal difference (+18). With a 66% promotion probability, Tigre do Vale are targeting 9 wins from the remaining 14 matches to secure a spot at the 75% confidence level. The São Paulo club will take on Sport Recife on August 28.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Novorizontino's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Novorizontino has a 0.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Novorizontino need for Escape Relegation?
Novorizontino needs 2 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.