Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 11
São Bernardo
Pts
41
MP
29
W
11
GD
+9
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.1%
Probability — São Bernardo
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 9
90% confidence
8Wins/ 9
99% confidence
9Wins/ 9
ProbFut AI Analysis
São Bernardo beat Atlético Goianiense 1-0 and moved onto 41 points from 29 matches, keeping their relegation risk in check at 1%. With their promotion chances also standing at 1%, the ABC outfit need just 1 win from the final 9 rounds to remove any fear of relegation at the 75% threshold. Their next test comes against Novorizontino on September 25.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are São Bernardo's chances of achieving Promotion?
São Bernardo has a 1.4% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does São Bernardo need for Promotion?
São Bernardo needs 8 wins in 9 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.