ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 13

São Bernardo

Pts

32

MP

24

W

8

GD

+6

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
5%

Probability — São Bernardo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
12Wins/ 14
90% confidence
12Wins/ 14
99% confidence
14Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

São Bernardo drew 1-1 against Náutico and occupy 13th place with 32 points. With a 5% promotion probability and just a 2% risk of the drop, the ABC Paulista side need 12 wins in the final 14 rounds to reach the top four at the 75% confidence level. Their next match is against Goiás on August 28.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are São Bernardo's chances of achieving Promotion?
São Bernardo has a 5.4% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does São Bernardo need for Promotion?
São Bernardo needs 12 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.