Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 11
São Bernardo
Pts
41
MP
29
W
11
GD
+9
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.1%
Probability — São Bernardo
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
1Wins/ 9
90% confidence
2Wins/ 9
99% confidence
4Wins/ 9
ProbFut AI Analysis
São Bernardo beat Atlético Goianiense 1-0 and moved onto 41 points from 29 matches, keeping their relegation risk in check at 1%. With their promotion chances also standing at 1%, the ABC outfit need just 1 win from the final 9 rounds to remove any fear of relegation at the 75% threshold. Their next test comes against Novorizontino on September 25.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are São Bernardo's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
São Bernardo has a 0.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does São Bernardo need for Escape Relegation?
São Bernardo needs 2 wins in 9 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.