ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 13

São Bernardo

Pts

32

MP

24

W

8

GD

+6

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
2%

Probability — São Bernardo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 14
90% confidence
5Wins/ 14
99% confidence
7Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

São Bernardo drew 1-1 against Náutico and occupy 13th place with 32 points. With a 5% promotion probability and just a 2% risk of the drop, the ABC Paulista side need 12 wins in the final 14 rounds to reach the top four at the 75% confidence level. Their next match is against Goiás on August 28.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are São Bernardo's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
São Bernardo has a 1.7% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does São Bernardo need for Escape Relegation?
São Bernardo needs 5 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.