ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 03

Vila Nova

Pts

66

MP

37

W

19

GD

+15

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
89%

Probability — Vila Nova

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓

ProbFut AI Analysis

Vila Nova, the Tigrão or the Vilão, has 66 points in 3rd place and an 89% chance of a promotion playoff spot, after rising 18 percentage points in round 37. The 1-0 win over Criciuma was decisive in keeping the team in the top group. In round 38, Vila Nova visit Fortaleza EC on November 14, and a win could still raise its chances of direct promotion.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Vila Nova's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Vila Nova has a 89.2% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vila Nova need for Promotion Playoff?
Vila Nova needs 0 wins in 1 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.