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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 41 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✓
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 32 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 03 · 29 pts
71%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
71%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
RB Leipzig
# 04 · 29 pts
61%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
61%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 05 · 27 pts
46%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
38%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
VfB Stuttgart
# 06 · 26 pts
46%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
23%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 07 · 25 pts
36%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
10%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
Union Berlin
# 08 · 21 pts
10%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
SC Freiburg
# 09 · 20 pts
14%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
Werder Bremen
# 10 · 17 pts
9%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
1. FC Köln
# 11 · 16 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 12 · 16 pts
3%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
Hamburger SV
# 13 · 16 pts
10%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 14 · 15 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
FC Augsburg
# 15 · 14 pts
16%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
15%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
FC St. Pauli
# 16 · 12 pts
22%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
36%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 17 · 11 pts
18%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
65%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
FSV Mainz 05
# 18 · 8 pts
17%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
68%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 19G