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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 57 pts
99%
Champion
1st
99%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 51 pts
1%
Champion
1st
1%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 03 · 45 pts
94%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
94%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 04 · 42 pts
58%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
58%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
VfB Stuttgart
# 05 · 42 pts
75%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
24%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
RB Leipzig
# 06 · 40 pts
75%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
25%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 07 · 31 pts
49%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 12G
SC Freiburg
# 08 · 30 pts
36%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
FC Augsburg
# 09 · 25 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
Hamburger SV
# 10 · 25 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
Union Berlin
# 11 · 25 pts
7%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
1. FC Köln
# 12 · 23 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 13 · 22 pts
8%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
FSV Mainz 05
# 14 · 21 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 12G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 15 · 20 pts
22%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
21%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
Werder Bremen
# 16 · 19 pts
24%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
28%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
FC St. Pauli
# 17 · 17 pts
23%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
42%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 18 · 13 pts
3%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
96%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 12G