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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 66 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✓
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 9G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 55 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 03 · 49 pts
95%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
VfB Stuttgart
# 04 · 47 pts
73%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
26%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
RB Leipzig
# 05 · 47 pts
56%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
56%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 06 · 44 pts
76%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
24%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 07 · 35 pts
52%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
SC Freiburg
# 08 · 34 pts
36%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
FC Augsburg
# 09 · 31 pts
4%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
Hamburger SV
# 10 · 29 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 9G
Union Berlin
# 11 · 28 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 9G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 12 · 25 pts
8%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
Werder Bremen
# 13 · 25 pts
15%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
1. FC Köln
# 14 · 24 pts
19%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
FC St. Pauli
# 15 · 24 pts
22%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
FSV Mainz 05
# 16 · 24 pts
20%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 17 · 20 pts
11%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
82%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 18 · 14 pts
2%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
98%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 9G