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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 76 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✓
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 64 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
VfB Stuttgart
# 03 · 56 pts
59%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
59%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
RB Leipzig
# 04 · 56 pts
84%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
84%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 05 · 52 pts
60%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
40%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 06 · 51 pts
84%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
16%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 07 · 42 pts
48%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
SC Freiburg
# 08 · 40 pts
50%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
FC Augsburg
# 09 · 33 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
FSV Mainz 05
# 10 · 33 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Union Berlin
# 11 · 32 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
Hamburger SV
# 12 · 31 pts
3%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
1. FC Köln
# 13 · 30 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 14 · 30 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
Werder Bremen
# 15 · 28 pts
27%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
3%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
FC St. Pauli
# 16 · 25 pts
42%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
20%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 17 · 21 pts
15%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
80%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 18 · 19 pts
3%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
97%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
—