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Magic Numbers
Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
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Bundesliga
Bayern München
# 01 · 79 pts
99%
Champion
1st
✓
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 64 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
RB Leipzig
# 03 · 59 pts
95%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
VfB Stuttgart
# 04 · 56 pts
61%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
61%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 05 · 54 pts
72%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
28%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 06 · 52 pts
85%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
15%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
SC Freiburg
# 07 · 43 pts
72%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 08 · 42 pts
23%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
FC Augsburg
# 09 · 36 pts
5%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
FSV Mainz 05
# 10 · 34 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Union Berlin
# 11 · 32 pts
2%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
Werder Bremen
# 12 · 31 pts
9%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
1. FC Köln
# 13 · 31 pts
7%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 14 · 31 pts
7%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
Hamburger SV
# 15 · 31 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 4G
FC St. Pauli
# 16 · 26 pts
43%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
30%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 17 · 24 pts
26%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
70%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 18 · 19 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
99%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—