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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 15 pts
75%
Champions League
1st
35%
UCL
75%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 29G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 13 pts
60%
Champions League
1st
21%
UCL
60%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
RB Leipzig
# 03 · 12 pts
45%
Champions League
1st
12%
UCL
45%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 04 · 9 pts
29%
Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
29%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
VfB Stuttgart
# 05 · 9 pts
28%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
28%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 06 · 8 pts
23%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
23%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
1. FC Köln
# 07 · 7 pts
20%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
20%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
SC Freiburg
# 08 · 7 pts
18%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
18%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
FC St. Pauli
# 09 · 7 pts
17%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
17%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 10 · 7 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
14%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
Union Berlin
# 11 · 7 pts
16%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
16%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 12 · 5 pts
11%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
Hamburger SV
# 13 · 5 pts
10%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
10%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
FSV Mainz 05
# 14 · 4 pts
11%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
15%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 29G
Werder Bremen
# 15 · 4 pts
10%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
10%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 29G
FC Augsburg
# 16 · 3 pts
8%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
24%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 17 · 3 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
28%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 18 · 2 pts
4%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
33%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G