Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 06
Bayern München
Pts
4
MP
2
W
1
GD
+4
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Bundesliga.5%
Probability — Bayern München
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 32
90% confidence
9Wins/ 32
99% confidence
12Wins/ 32
ProbFut AI Analysis
Bayern München were held to a goalless 0-0 draw at FC Schalke 04 on Matchday 2 and sit in 6th place with 4 points. The model gives Der Rekordmeister a 6% title probability alongside a 25% chance of reaching the Champions League, which would require 23 wins from the remaining 32 matches for 75% confidence. Next up is an away match at SV Elversberg on September 13, 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Bayern München's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Bayern München has a 5.2% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bayern München need for Escape the Playoffs?
Bayern München needs 9 wins in 32 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.