ProbFut
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 03

Borussia Dortmund

Pts

6

MP

2

W

2

GD

+3

Primary Objective

Escape the Playoffs

Wins needed to stay in Bundesliga.
5%

Probability — Borussia Dortmund

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 32
90% confidence
16Wins/ 32
99% confidence
16Wins/ 32

ProbFut AI Analysis

Borussia Dortmund celebrated their 2nd win in 2 matches with a 3-2 victory at 1899 Hoffenheim and sit 3rd in the table. Der BVB hold a 28% chance of reaching the Champions League and an 8% title probability, with 22 wins from the remaining 32 matches required to secure Europe's premier competition with 75% confidence. On September 12, 2026, die Westfalen host SC Paderborn 07 at home.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Borussia Dortmund's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Borussia Dortmund has a 4.7% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Borussia Dortmund need for Escape the Playoffs?
Borussia Dortmund needs 16 wins in 32 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.