ProbFut
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 09

RB Leipzig

Pts

6

MP

4

W

2

GD

+4

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
9%

Probability — RB Leipzig

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 30
90% confidence
9Wins/ 30
99% confidence
11Wins/ 30

ProbFut AI Analysis

RB Leipzig were beaten 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen and slipped to 9th place with 6 points. Roten Bullen lost ground: their Champions League probability dropped to 23%, while their relegation risk stands at 9%. To return to the top four under the 75% model, 20 wins are projected from the remaining 30 matches. A home game against Eintracht Frankfurt on October 10, 2026, presents the next opportunity to get back on track.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are RB Leipzig's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
RB Leipzig has a 9.3% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does RB Leipzig need for Escape Relegation?
RB Leipzig needs 9 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.