Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 09
RB Leipzig
Pts
6
MP
4
W
2
GD
+4
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Bundesliga.5%
Probability — RB Leipzig
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 30
90% confidence
11Wins/ 30
99% confidence
11Wins/ 30
ProbFut AI Analysis
RB Leipzig were beaten 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen and slipped to 9th place with 6 points. Roten Bullen lost ground: their Champions League probability dropped to 23%, while their relegation risk stands at 9%. To return to the top four under the 75% model, 20 wins are projected from the remaining 30 matches. A home game against Eintracht Frankfurt on October 10, 2026, presents the next opportunity to get back on track.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are RB Leipzig's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
RB Leipzig has a 5.5% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does RB Leipzig need for Escape the Playoffs?
RB Leipzig needs 11 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.