ProbFut
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 15

Union Berlin

Pts

1

MP

2

W

0

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
11%

Probability — Union Berlin

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
21Wins/ 32
90% confidence
21Wins/ 32
99% confidence
24Wins/ 32

ProbFut AI Analysis

Following a heavy 0-4 defeat at Bayer Leverkusen, Union Berlin sit 15th in the table with 1 point. Die Eisernen face a 14% probability of relegation and mathematically need 8 wins from the remaining 32 matchdays to secure top-flight status with 75% confidence. On September 11, 2026, the capital club host FC Schalke 04.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Union Berlin's chances of achieving Europa League?
Union Berlin has a 10.6% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Union Berlin need for Europa League?
Union Berlin needs 21 wins in 32 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.