ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 13

Birmingham

Pts

11

MP

8

W

2

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
10%

Probability — Birmingham

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
12Wins/ 38
90% confidence
12Wins/ 38
99% confidence
14Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-2 draw with Middlesbrough leaves Birmingham in 13th place on 11 points after 8 rounds. The Blues hold an 18% probability of reaching the promotion playoff, requiring 23 wins from their remaining 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence mark to overcome a heavy draw tally and break into the top 6. Birmingham visit West Brom on 2026-10-10 aiming to convert single points into crucial wins.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Birmingham's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Birmingham has a 10.4% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Birmingham need for Escape Relegation?
Birmingham needs 12 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.