ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 21

Cardiff

Pts

7

MP

8

W

1

GD

-2

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
12%

Probability — Cardiff

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
25Wins/ 38
90% confidence
25Wins/ 38
99% confidence
28Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

Cardiff secured a vital 3-1 home win over Charlton to move to 7 points in 21st place. The result trimmed their relegation risk by 4% to 19%, though a demanding target of 13 wins from 38 remaining games is still required at the 75% threshold to build a comfortable cushion above the bottom 3. Cardiff will look to build on this momentum when they visit Blackburn on 2026-10-10.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Cardiff's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Cardiff has a 11.6% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Cardiff need for Promotion Playoff?
Cardiff needs 25 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.