ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 21

Cardiff

Pts

7

MP

8

W

1

GD

-2

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
19%

Probability — Cardiff

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
13Wins/ 38
90% confidence
14Wins/ 38
99% confidence
19Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

Cardiff secured a vital 3-1 home win over Charlton to move to 7 points in 21st place. The result trimmed their relegation risk by 4% to 19%, though a demanding target of 13 wins from 38 remaining games is still required at the 75% threshold to build a comfortable cushion above the bottom 3. Cardiff will look to build on this momentum when they visit Blackburn on 2026-10-10.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Cardiff's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Cardiff has a 18.7% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Cardiff need for Escape Relegation?
Cardiff needs 14 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.