ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 12

Lincoln

Pts

11

MP

8

W

3

GD

-1

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
16%

Probability — Lincoln

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
23Wins/ 38
90% confidence
28Wins/ 38
99% confidence
28Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

Lincoln dropped to 12th place on 11 points following a narrow 2-1 home loss against league leaders Swansea. The club retains a 16% chance of reaching the promotion playoff, requiring 23 wins across the final 38 fixtures at the 75% level to push into genuine contention. Lincoln travel to Sheffield Utd on 2026-10-10 looking to bounce straight back into the top half.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Lincoln's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Lincoln has a 16.2% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lincoln need for Promotion Playoff?
Lincoln needs 28 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.