ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 10

Southampton

Pts

3

MP

2

W

1

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
12%

Probability — Southampton

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 44
90% confidence
11Wins/ 44
99% confidence
22Wins/ 44

ProbFut AI Analysis

Southampton earned their first victory of the campaign with a convincing 3-1 home win over Stoke City. The Saints reduced their relegation probability to 12% while holding a 17% chance for the promotion playoff, which requires 30 wins in 44 remaining matches at 75% certainty. They face league leaders Millwall at home on 29 August 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Southampton's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Southampton has a 11.9% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Southampton need for Escape Relegation?
Southampton needs 11 wins in 44 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.