Championship · 2026/27 · # 04
Southampton
Pts
14
MP
8
W
4
GD
+9
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.6%
Probability — Southampton
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 38
90% confidence
11Wins/ 38
99% confidence
14Wins/ 38
ProbFut AI Analysis
A surprising 2-1 defeat at Wrexham checked Southampton, keeping them 4th on 14 points. The Saints retain a 14% chance of automatic promotion and 23% for the promotion playoff, targeting 28 wins from 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence level to push into the top 2. Southampton host rivals Portsmouth on 2026-10-11 in a pivotal fixture.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Southampton's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Southampton has a 5.5% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Southampton need for Escape Relegation?
Southampton needs 11 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.