ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 01

Swansea

Pts

17

MP

8

W

5

GD

+7

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
4%

Probability — Swansea

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 38
90% confidence
10Wins/ 38
99% confidence
14Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

Swansea consolidated their place atop the Championship with a 2-1 victory away at Lincoln, moving to 17 points from 8 matches. The Swans saw their automatic promotion probability jump 5% to a league-leading 19%, requiring 26 wins from their remaining 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence level to secure a top 2 finish. Swansea host Norwich on 2026-10-10 looking to preserve their summit position.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Swansea's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Swansea has a 3.5% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Swansea need for Escape Relegation?
Swansea needs 10 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.