ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 20

Watford

Pts

8

MP

8

W

2

GD

-3

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
5%

Probability — Watford

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
29Wins/ 38
90% confidence
33Wins/ 38
99% confidence
33Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

Watford slipped into 20th place on 8 points after suffering a 1-0 away defeat against Bristol City. The Hornets now carry a 17% relegation probability, and the model targets 13 wins from 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence mark to steer clear of trouble following 4 defeats in 8 matches. Watford host 24th-placed Burnley on 2026-10-10 in a vital lower-table encounter.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Watford's chances of achieving Promotion?
Watford has a 4.6% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Watford need for Promotion?
Watford needs 33 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.