ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 20

Watford

Pts

8

MP

8

W

2

GD

-3

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
13%

Probability — Watford

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
24Wins/ 38
90% confidence
25Wins/ 38
99% confidence
28Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

Watford slipped into 20th place on 8 points after suffering a 1-0 away defeat against Bristol City. The Hornets now carry a 17% relegation probability, and the model targets 13 wins from 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence mark to steer clear of trouble following 4 defeats in 8 matches. Watford host 24th-placed Burnley on 2026-10-10 in a vital lower-table encounter.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Watford's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Watford has a 12.8% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Watford need for Promotion Playoff?
Watford needs 25 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.