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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 3 pts
30%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
30%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Rayo Vallecano
# 02 · 3 pts
31%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
31%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Villarreal
# 03 · 3 pts
26%
Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
26%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Getafe
# 04 · 3 pts
32%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
32%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Athletic Club
# 05 · 3 pts
25%
Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
25%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Espanyol
# 06 · 3 pts
27%
Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
27%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Alaves
# 07 · 3 pts
28%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
28%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Real Madrid
# 08 · 3 pts
26%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
26%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
Real Betis
# 09 · 1 pts
20%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
20%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Real Sociedad
# 10 · 1 pts
20%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
20%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Elche
# 11 · 1 pts
16%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
16%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Valencia
# 12 · 1 pts
15%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
15%
REL
15%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Sevilla
# 13 · 0 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
14%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Levante
# 14 · 0 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
14%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Atletico Madrid
# 15 · 0 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
14%
REL
19%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Osasuna
# 16 · 0 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
14%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Girona
# 17 · 0 pts
13%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Celta Vigo
# 18 · 0 pts
10%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
10%
REL
23%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Oviedo
# 19 · 0 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
14%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G
Mallorca
# 20 · 0 pts
11%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 37G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 37G