Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 27 pts82%Champion
1st
82%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
18W/ 28G
90% confidence
19W/ 28G
99% confidence
20W/ 28G
Barcelona
# 02 · 22 pts59%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
59%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Villarreal
# 03 · 20 pts82%Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
82%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 19 pts71%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
71%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Espanyol
# 05 · 18 pts22%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
14%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 28G
90% confidence
15W/ 28G
99% confidence
16W/ 28G
Real Betis
# 06 · 16 pts27%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
23%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Rayo Vallecano
# 07 · 14 pts24%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
21%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 14 pts9%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Getafe
# 09 · 14 pts10%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Elche
# 10 · 14 pts20%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
10%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Sevilla
# 11 · 13 pts12%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Alaves
# 12 · 12 pts4%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Osasuna
# 13 · 10 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
16%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Celta Vigo
# 14 · 10 pts1%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
28%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 28G
90% confidence
18W/ 28G
99% confidence
19W/ 28G
Levante
# 15 · 9 pts13%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 28G
90% confidence
18W/ 28G
99% confidence
19W/ 28G
Mallorca
# 16 · 9 pts20%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
20%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 28G
90% confidence
11W/ 28G
99% confidence
11W/ 28G
Real Sociedad
# 17 · 9 pts25%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
25%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 28G
90% confidence
11W/ 28G
99% confidence
11W/ 28G
Valencia
# 18 · 9 pts36%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
36%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 28G
90% confidence
11W/ 28G
99% confidence
11W/ 28G
Oviedo
# 19 · 7 pts93%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 28G
90% confidence
11W/ 28G
99% confidence
12W/ 28G
Girona
# 20 · 7 pts71%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
71%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 28G
90% confidence
11W/ 28G
99% confidence
12W/ 28G