Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 32 pts47%Champion
1st
47%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
19W/ 25G
90% confidence
19W/ 25G
99% confidence
21W/ 25G
Barcelona
# 02 · 31 pts37%Champion
1st
37%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
19W/ 25G
90% confidence
20W/ 25G
99% confidence
21W/ 25G
Villarreal
# 03 · 29 pts98%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 28 pts97%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Espanyol
# 05 · 21 pts36%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13W/ 25G
90% confidence
13W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Real Betis
# 06 · 21 pts75%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13W/ 25G
90% confidence
13W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Getafe
# 07 · 17 pts13%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 17 pts6%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Sevilla
# 09 · 16 pts11%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Real Sociedad
# 10 · 16 pts17%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Rayo Vallecano
# 11 · 16 pts7%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Elche
# 12 · 16 pts19%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Celta Vigo
# 13 · 16 pts9%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Alaves
# 14 · 15 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Valencia
# 15 · 13 pts23%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
23%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
9W/ 25G
Mallorca
# 16 · 12 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
9%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Osasuna
# 17 · 11 pts42%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
42%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
10W/ 25G
Girona
# 18 · 11 pts74%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
74%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
10W/ 25G
Levante
# 19 · 9 pts48%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
48%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 25G
90% confidence
10W/ 25G
99% confidence
11W/ 25G
Oviedo
# 20 · 9 pts94%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
94%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 25G
90% confidence
10W/ 25G
99% confidence
11W/ 25G