Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 34 pts39%Champion
1st
39%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
18W/ 24G
90% confidence
19W/ 24G
99% confidence
20W/ 24G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 33 pts99%Champions League
1st
30%
UCL
99%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Villarreal
# 03 · 32 pts99%Champions League
1st
22%
UCL
99%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 31 pts96%Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
96%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
16W/ 24G
Espanyol
# 05 · 24 pts51%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12W/ 24G
90% confidence
12W/ 24G
99% confidence
13W/ 24G
Real Betis
# 06 · 24 pts84%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
7%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12W/ 24G
90% confidence
12W/ 24G
99% confidence
13W/ 24G
Getafe
# 07 · 20 pts15%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 24G
90% confidence
13W/ 24G
99% confidence
14W/ 24G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 20 pts12%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 24G
90% confidence
13W/ 24G
99% confidence
14W/ 24G
Rayo Vallecano
# 09 · 17 pts6%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Sevilla
# 10 · 16 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Real Sociedad
# 11 · 16 pts11%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Elche
# 12 · 16 pts14%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Celta Vigo
# 13 · 16 pts7%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Alaves
# 14 · 15 pts4%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
7%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Valencia
# 15 · 14 pts14%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 24G
90% confidence
8W/ 24G
99% confidence
9W/ 24G
Mallorca
# 16 · 13 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
10%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15W/ 24G
90% confidence
15W/ 24G
99% confidence
16W/ 24G
Osasuna
# 17 · 12 pts22%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
22%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 24G
90% confidence
9W/ 24G
99% confidence
10W/ 24G
Girona
# 18 · 12 pts73%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
73%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 24G
90% confidence
9W/ 24G
99% confidence
10W/ 24G
Levante
# 19 · 9 pts66%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
66%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 24G
90% confidence
10W/ 24G
99% confidence
11W/ 24G
Oviedo
# 20 · 9 pts97%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
97%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 24G
90% confidence
10W/ 24G
99% confidence
11W/ 24G