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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 37 pts
59%
Champion
1st
59%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 23G
Villarreal
# 02 · 35 pts
27%
Champion
1st
27%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 23G
Real Madrid
# 03 · 33 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
11%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 31 pts
94%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
94%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Espanyol
# 05 · 27 pts
57%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
Real Betis
# 06 · 24 pts
63%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
Athletic Club
# 07 · 23 pts
20%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
Getafe
# 08 · 20 pts
10%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
Elche
# 09 · 19 pts
21%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Celta Vigo
# 10 · 19 pts
13%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Alaves
# 11 · 18 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Sevilla
# 12 · 17 pts
4%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 17 pts
4%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Real Sociedad
# 14 · 16 pts
6%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Osasuna
# 15 · 15 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 23G
Valencia
# 16 · 15 pts
18%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
Mallorca
# 17 · 14 pts
15%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
15%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
Girona
# 18 · 12 pts
83%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
83%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 23G
Oviedo
# 19 · 10 pts
94%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
94%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 23G
Levante
# 20 · 9 pts
77%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
77%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G