Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 40 pts62%Champion
1st
62%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16W/ 22G
90% confidence
17W/ 22G
99% confidence
18W/ 22G
Villarreal
# 02 · 38 pts25%Champion
1st
25%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16W/ 22G
90% confidence
17W/ 22G
99% confidence
18W/ 22G
Real Madrid
# 03 · 36 pts98%Champions League
1st
11%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11W/ 22G
90% confidence
12W/ 22G
99% confidence
13W/ 22G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 34 pts91%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
91%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Espanyol
# 05 · 30 pts70%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
7%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 22G
90% confidence
11W/ 22G
99% confidence
12W/ 22G
Real Betis
# 06 · 25 pts62%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12W/ 22G
90% confidence
12W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Athletic Club
# 07 · 23 pts9%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 22G
90% confidence
12W/ 22G
99% confidence
13W/ 22G
Celta Vigo
# 08 · 22 pts27%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Sevilla
# 09 · 20 pts10%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Getafe
# 10 · 20 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Elche
# 11 · 19 pts14%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Alaves
# 12 · 18 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 18 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Mallorca
# 14 · 17 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Real Sociedad
# 15 · 16 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Osasuna
# 16 · 15 pts11%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
11%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 22G
90% confidence
8W/ 22G
99% confidence
9W/ 22G
Valencia
# 17 · 15 pts20%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
20%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 22G
90% confidence
8W/ 22G
99% confidence
9W/ 22G
Girona
# 18 · 15 pts63%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
63%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 22G
90% confidence
8W/ 22G
99% confidence
9W/ 22G
Oviedo
# 19 · 10 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
99%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 22G
90% confidence
10W/ 22G
99% confidence
10W/ 22G
Levante
# 20 · 9 pts85%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
85%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 22G
90% confidence
10W/ 22G
99% confidence
11W/ 22G