Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 49 pts77%Champion
1st
77%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
14W/ 19G
90% confidence
15W/ 19G
99% confidence
16W/ 19G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 45 pts19%Champion
1st
19%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
15W/ 19G
90% confidence
16W/ 19G
99% confidence
17W/ 19G
Villarreal
# 03 · 44 pts4%Champion
1st
4%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16W/ 19G
90% confidence
16W/ 19G
99% confidence
18W/ 19G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 38 pts95%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
10W/ 19G
90% confidence
11W/ 19G
99% confidence
12W/ 19G
Espanyol
# 05 · 34 pts68%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9W/ 19G
90% confidence
9W/ 19G
99% confidence
10W/ 19G
Real Betis
# 06 · 29 pts51%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 19G
90% confidence
11W/ 19G
99% confidence
12W/ 19G
Celta Vigo
# 07 · 29 pts60%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 19G
90% confidence
11W/ 19G
99% confidence
12W/ 19G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 24 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 19G
90% confidence
11W/ 19G
99% confidence
12W/ 19G
Elche
# 09 · 23 pts17%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
Rayo Vallecano
# 10 · 22 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
Getafe
# 11 · 21 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
8%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
Real Sociedad
# 12 · 21 pts6%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
Girona
# 13 · 21 pts34%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
34%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
6W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
Sevilla
# 14 · 20 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
7%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
13W/ 19G
99% confidence
14W/ 19G
Osasuna
# 15 · 19 pts11%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
11%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
7W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
Alaves
# 16 · 19 pts20%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
20%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
7W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
Mallorca
# 17 · 18 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
17%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13W/ 19G
90% confidence
13W/ 19G
99% confidence
14W/ 19G
Valencia
# 18 · 17 pts49%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
49%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 19G
90% confidence
8W/ 19G
99% confidence
8W/ 19G
Levante
# 19 · 14 pts46%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
46%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 19G
90% confidence
9W/ 19G
99% confidence
9W/ 19G
Oviedo
# 20 · 13 pts98%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
98%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 19G
90% confidence
9W/ 19G
99% confidence
9W/ 19G