Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 55 pts72%Champion
1st
72%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
12W/ 16G
90% confidence
13W/ 16G
99% confidence
14W/ 16G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 54 pts27%Champion
1st
27%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
12W/ 16G
90% confidence
13W/ 16G
99% confidence
14W/ 16G
Villarreal
# 03 · 45 pts98%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
9W/ 16G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 45 pts99%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
99%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
9W/ 16G
Real Betis
# 05 · 35 pts73%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
10W/ 16G
Espanyol
# 06 · 34 pts22%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
8W/ 16G
Celta Vigo
# 07 · 33 pts72%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8W/ 16G
90% confidence
9W/ 16G
99% confidence
10W/ 16G
Real Sociedad
# 08 · 28 pts23%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 16G
90% confidence
10W/ 16G
99% confidence
10W/ 16G
Osasuna
# 09 · 26 pts6%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 16G
90% confidence
10W/ 16G
99% confidence
11W/ 16G
Alaves
# 10 · 25 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
11W/ 16G
Athletic Club
# 11 · 25 pts16%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
16%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 16G
90% confidence
5W/ 16G
99% confidence
6W/ 16G
Girona
# 12 · 25 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
16%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
11W/ 16G
Sevilla
# 13 · 24 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
9%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Mallorca
# 14 · 24 pts6%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Elche
# 15 · 24 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Getafe
# 16 · 23 pts42%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
42%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 16G
90% confidence
6W/ 16G
99% confidence
6W/ 16G
Valencia
# 17 · 23 pts19%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 16G
90% confidence
6W/ 16G
99% confidence
6W/ 16G
Rayo Vallecano
# 18 · 22 pts50%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
50%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 16G
90% confidence
6W/ 16G
99% confidence
7W/ 16G
Levante
# 19 · 18 pts40%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
40%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
8W/ 16G
Oviedo
# 20 · 16 pts95%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
95%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
9W/ 16G