Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 58 pts66%Champion
1st
66%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
12W/ 15G
90% confidence
12W/ 15G
99% confidence
13W/ 15G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 57 pts34%Champion
1st
34%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
12W/ 15G
90% confidence
13W/ 15G
99% confidence
14W/ 15G
Villarreal
# 03 · 48 pts97%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7W/ 15G
90% confidence
8W/ 15G
99% confidence
9W/ 15G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 45 pts93%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
93%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8W/ 15G
90% confidence
9W/ 15G
99% confidence
10W/ 15G
Real Betis
# 05 · 38 pts79%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
9%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7W/ 15G
90% confidence
7W/ 15G
99% confidence
8W/ 15G
Espanyol
# 06 · 34 pts15%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 15G
90% confidence
8W/ 15G
99% confidence
9W/ 15G
Celta Vigo
# 07 · 33 pts59%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9W/ 15G
90% confidence
9W/ 15G
99% confidence
10W/ 15G
Real Sociedad
# 08 · 31 pts31%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9W/ 15G
90% confidence
10W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
Osasuna
# 09 · 29 pts15%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 15G
90% confidence
9W/ 15G
99% confidence
10W/ 15G
Athletic Club
# 10 · 28 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 15G
90% confidence
10W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
Getafe
# 11 · 26 pts23%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
23%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 15G
90% confidence
5W/ 15G
99% confidence
6W/ 15G
Girona
# 12 · 26 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
10W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
Sevilla
# 13 · 25 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
7%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Alaves
# 14 · 25 pts12%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
12%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 15G
90% confidence
5W/ 15G
99% confidence
6W/ 15G
Rayo Vallecano
# 15 · 25 pts21%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 15G
90% confidence
5W/ 15G
99% confidence
6W/ 15G
Mallorca
# 16 · 24 pts4%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Elche
# 17 · 24 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Valencia
# 18 · 23 pts51%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
51%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 15G
90% confidence
6W/ 15G
99% confidence
7W/ 15G
Levante
# 19 · 18 pts59%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
59%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 15G
90% confidence
8W/ 15G
99% confidence
8W/ 15G
Oviedo
# 20 · 16 pts97%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
97%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 15G
90% confidence
8W/ 15G
99% confidence
9W/ 15G