Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Real Madrid
# 01 · 60 pts63%Champion
1st
63%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
11W/ 14G
90% confidence
11W/ 14G
99% confidence
12W/ 14G
Barcelona
# 02 · 58 pts37%Champion
1st
37%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
11W/ 14G
90% confidence
12W/ 14G
99% confidence
13W/ 14G
Villarreal
# 03 · 48 pts95%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7W/ 14G
90% confidence
8W/ 14G
99% confidence
9W/ 14G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 45 pts85%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
85%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Real Betis
# 05 · 41 pts76%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
20%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6W/ 14G
90% confidence
6W/ 14G
99% confidence
7W/ 14G
Espanyol
# 06 · 35 pts14%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 14G
90% confidence
7W/ 14G
99% confidence
8W/ 14G
Celta Vigo
# 07 · 34 pts55%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 31 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
9W/ 14G
Real Sociedad
# 09 · 31 pts22%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
9W/ 14G
Osasuna
# 10 · 30 pts20%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Getafe
# 11 · 29 pts12%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
12%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 14G
90% confidence
4W/ 14G
99% confidence
5W/ 14G
Girona
# 12 · 29 pts5%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 28 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Sevilla
# 14 · 26 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
12%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
11W/ 14G
Alaves
# 15 · 26 pts20%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
20%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 14G
90% confidence
5W/ 14G
99% confidence
6W/ 14G
Valencia
# 16 · 26 pts24%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
24%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 14G
90% confidence
5W/ 14G
99% confidence
6W/ 14G
Elche
# 17 · 25 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
18%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
11W/ 14G
99% confidence
11W/ 14G
Mallorca
# 18 · 24 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
11W/ 14G
99% confidence
12W/ 14G
Levante
# 19 · 18 pts85%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
85%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 14G
90% confidence
8W/ 14G
99% confidence
8W/ 14G
Oviedo
# 20 · 16 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
9W/ 14G