Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 61 pts62%Champion
1st
62%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
10W/ 13G
90% confidence
10W/ 13G
99% confidence
11W/ 13G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 60 pts38%Champion
1st
38%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
10W/ 13G
90% confidence
11W/ 13G
99% confidence
12W/ 13G
Villarreal
# 03 · 51 pts96%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
96%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6W/ 13G
90% confidence
7W/ 13G
99% confidence
8W/ 13G
Atletico Madrid
# 04 · 48 pts89%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
89%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
9W/ 13G
Real Betis
# 05 · 42 pts82%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
13%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 13G
90% confidence
6W/ 13G
99% confidence
7W/ 13G
Celta Vigo
# 06 · 37 pts68%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
8W/ 13G
Espanyol
# 07 · 35 pts14%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
7W/ 13G
99% confidence
8W/ 13G
Athletic Club
# 08 · 34 pts9%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
8W/ 13G
Osasuna
# 09 · 33 pts25%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
9W/ 13G
Real Sociedad
# 10 · 32 pts21%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
9W/ 13G
Girona
# 11 · 30 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Sevilla
# 12 · 29 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Getafe
# 13 · 29 pts18%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 13G
90% confidence
4W/ 13G
99% confidence
5W/ 13G
Rayo Vallecano
# 14 · 29 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Alaves
# 15 · 27 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10W/ 13G
90% confidence
10W/ 13G
99% confidence
11W/ 13G
Valencia
# 16 · 26 pts24%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
24%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 13G
90% confidence
5W/ 13G
99% confidence
6W/ 13G
Elche
# 17 · 25 pts24%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
24%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 13G
90% confidence
5W/ 13G
99% confidence
6W/ 13G
Mallorca
# 18 · 24 pts14%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 13G
90% confidence
6W/ 13G
99% confidence
6W/ 13G
Levante
# 19 · 18 pts95%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
95%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
8W/ 13G
Oviedo
# 20 · 17 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
9W/ 13G